CONTINUOUS MONITORING SYSTEM ON BRIDGES TO PREVENT EMERGENCIES

Abstract

In the first stage of the proposed method, artificial neural networks are trained with an unsupervised learning approach with input data composed of accelerations gathered on the healthy bridge. Based on the acceleration values at previous instants in time, the networks are able to predict future accelerations. In the second stage, the prediction errors of each network are statistically characterized by a Gaussian process that supports the choice of a damage detection threshold. Subsequent to this, by comparing damage indices with said threshold, it is possible to discriminate between different structural conditions, namely between healthy and dam- aged. From here and for each damage case scenario, receiver operating characteristic curves that illustrate the trade-off between true and false positives can be obtained. Lastly, based on the Bayes’ Theorem, a simplified method for the calculation of the expected total cost of the pro- posed strategy, as a function of the chosen threshold, is suggested.